predicted sports
← UFC 306
Merab Dvalishvili
21-5 · Orthodox
vs
Sean O'Malley
20-3 (1 NC) · Switch
Bantamweight · Title
Result
Merab Dvalishvili def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
68"
Reach
72"
35
Age
31
4.42
SLpM
5.98
41%
Str. Acc.
60%
2.80
SApM
3.40
54%
Str. Def.
59%
5.97
TD Avg.
0.23
76%
TD Def.
60%
0.30
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

59%
younger fighters win at Bantamweight
349 fights · edge Sean O'Malley
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Bantamweight
303 fights · edge Sean O'Malley
58%
the rating favorite wins at Bantamweight
305 fights · edge Sean O'Malley
43%
of Bantamweight fights end inside the distance
349 fights
46%
of title fights go the distance
127 fights
By the Numbers
Merab Dvalishvili finishes 18% · finished 0% (11 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (5-0)
As the rating underdog 100% (4-0)
Vs orthodox 100% (6-0)
Giving up reach 100% (5-0)
Sean O'Malley finishes 45% · finished 18% (11 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (2-0)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
As the rating favorite 80% (4-1)
With a reach advantage 73% (8-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.