← UFC Fight Night
Lightweight
· APEX cage
Result
Francis Marshall def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
70"
27
Age
28
3.19
SLpM
4.21
34%
Str. Acc.
43%
3.45
SApM
4.79
55%
Str. Def.
48%
2.71
TD Avg.
0.62
88%
TD Def.
75%
0.50
Sub. Avg.
0.20
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Francis Marshall
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Francis Marshall
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Francis Marshall
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Francis Marshall
finishes 29% · finished 14% (7 fights)
As the rating favorite
100%
(2-0)
With a reach advantage
75%
(3-1)
When younger than opponent
60%
(3-2)
When older than opponent
50%
(1-1)
Dennis Buzukja
finishes 20% · finished 40% (5 fights)
When younger than opponent
33%
(1-2)
As the rating underdog
25%
(1-3)
Giving up reach
25%
(1-3)
When older than opponent
0%
(0-2)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.