predicted sports
← UFC 305
Tom Nolan
11-1 · Southpaw
vs
Alex Reyes
13-5 · Orthodox
Lightweight
Result
Tom Nolan def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
73"
Reach
73"
26
Age
39
4.84
SLpM
4.46
45%
Str. Acc.
46%
3.74
SApM
6.92
48%
Str. Def.
48%
1.08
TD Avg.
1.50
58%
TD Def.
0%
1.40
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Tom Nolan
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Tom Nolan
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Tom Nolan finishes 33% · finished 17% (6 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (3-0)
When younger than opponent 83% (5-1)
Vs orthodox 83% (5-1)
With a reach advantage 75% (3-1)
Alex Reyes finishes 0% · finished 50% (2 fights)
When older than opponent 0% (0-2)
As the rating underdog 0% (0-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.