predicted sports
← UFC 305
Dan Hooker
24-14 · Switch
vs
Mateusz Gamrot
26-4 (1 NC) · Southpaw
Lightweight
Result
Dan Hooker def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
70"
36
Age
35
4.82
SLpM
3.21
48%
Str. Acc.
51%
4.94
SApM
2.81
49%
Str. Def.
60%
0.68
TD Avg.
5.22
77%
TD Def.
83%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Mateusz Gamrot
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Dan Hooker
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Mateusz Gamrot
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Dan Hooker finishes 10% · finished 50% (10 fights)
When older than opponent 50% (4-4)
Vs southpaws 50% (4-4)
As the rating underdog 40% (4-6)
With a reach advantage 33% (3-6)
Mateusz Gamrot finishes 38% · finished 8% (13 fights)
With a reach advantage 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (6-0)
When older than opponent 83% (5-1)
Vs southpaws 75% (3-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.