predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Chepe Mariscal
18-7 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Damon Jackson
23-8-1 (1 NC) · Switch
Featherweight · APEX cage
Result
Chepe Mariscal def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
69"
Reach
71"
33
Age
37
4.14
SLpM
2.96
55%
Str. Acc.
42%
2.66
SApM
3.47
52%
Str. Def.
49%
2.34
TD Avg.
2.30
59%
TD Def.
37%
0.20
Sub. Avg.
1.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

55%
younger fighters win at Featherweight
365 fights · edge Chepe Mariscal
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Featherweight
315 fights · edge Damon Jackson
55%
the rating favorite wins at Featherweight
320 fights · edge Chepe Mariscal
49%
of Featherweight fights end inside the distance
365 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Chepe Mariscal finishes 17% · finished 0% (6 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (4-0)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (3-0)
As the rating favorite 75% (3-1)
Damon Jackson finishes 27% · finished 27% (11 fights)
Giving up reach 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 67% (6-3)
As the rating underdog 60% (3-2)
With a reach advantage 57% (4-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.