predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Serghei Spivac
18-6 · Orthodox
vs
Marcin Tybura
27-11 · Orthodox
Heavyweight · APEX cage
Result
Serghei Spivac def.
SUB · R1 1:44
Tale of the Tape
78"
Reach
78"
31
Age
40
3.57
SLpM
3.56
47%
Str. Acc.
48%
4.23
SApM
3.26
52%
Str. Def.
55%
3.82
TD Avg.
1.30
63%
TD Def.
70%
0.50
Sub. Avg.
0.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Serghei Spivac
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Serghei Spivac
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Serghei Spivac finishes 42% · finished 25% (12 fights)
With a reach advantage 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 83% (5-1)
As the rating favorite 75% (6-2)
When younger than opponent 67% (8-4)
Marcin Tybura finishes 29% · finished 21% (14 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (3-0)
As the rating underdog 100% (5-0)
Vs southpaws 100% (4-0)
With a reach advantage 80% (4-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.