← UFC Fight Night
Welterweight
Result
Michael Chiesa def.
SUB · R1 3:44
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
76"
38
Age
42
2.02
SLpM
4.91
40%
Str. Acc.
45%
1.73
SApM
4.37
57%
Str. Def.
55%
3.11
TD Avg.
0.39
65%
TD Def.
66%
1.00
Sub. Avg.
0.90
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Michael Chiesa
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Tony Ferguson
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Michael Chiesa
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Michael Chiesa
finishes 38% · finished 25% (8 fights)
When younger than opponent
100%
(4-0)
As the rating favorite
100%
(3-0)
Giving up reach
80%
(4-1)
Vs orthodox
63%
(5-3)
Tony Ferguson
finishes 0% · finished 57% (7 fights)
When older than opponent
0%
(0-7)
As the rating underdog
0%
(0-6)
Vs southpaws
0%
(0-3)
Vs orthodox
0%
(0-4)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.