predicted sports
← UFC 304
Mick Parkin
10-1 · Orthodox
vs
Lukasz Brzeski
9-7-1 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Heavyweight
Result
Mick Parkin def.
KO/TKO · R1 3:23
Tale of the Tape
79"
Reach
78"
30
Age
34
4.70
SLpM
4.90
50%
Str. Acc.
50%
4.13
SApM
3.65
58%
Str. Def.
54%
1.38
TD Avg.
0.41
50%
TD Def.
35%
0.20
Sub. Avg.
0.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Mick Parkin
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Mick Parkin
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Mick Parkin
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
By the Numbers
Mick Parkin finishes 20% · finished 0% (5 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)
When younger than opponent 75% (3-1)
Vs orthodox 75% (3-1)
Lukasz Brzeski finishes 0% · finished 57% (7 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (1-1)
When older than opponent 33% (1-2)
Vs orthodox 17% (1-5)
As the rating underdog 14% (1-6)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.