← UFC 304
Welterweight
Result
Sam Patterson def.
SUB · R1 2:50
Tale of the Tape
78"
Reach
70"
30
Age
36
2.62
SLpM
4.46
37%
Str. Acc.
64%
3.06
SApM
5.80
50%
Str. Def.
46%
0.82
TD Avg.
0.00
33%
TD Def.
40%
1.60
Sub. Avg.
0.00
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Sam Patterson
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Sam Patterson
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Sam Patterson
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Sam Patterson
finishes 67% · finished 17% (6 fights)
With a reach advantage
75%
(3-1)
When younger than opponent
67%
(4-2)
Vs orthodox
67%
(2-1)
As the rating underdog
60%
(3-2)
Kiefer Crosbie
finishes 0% · finished 100% (3 fights)
When older than opponent
0%
(0-3)
As the rating underdog
0%
(0-3)
Vs orthodox
0%
(0-2)
Giving up reach
0%
(0-3)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.