predicted sports
← UFC 304
Gregory Rodrigues
19-6 · Orthodox
vs
Christian Leroy Duncan
14-2 · Switch
Middleweight
Result
Gregory Rodrigues def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
79"
34
Age
30
5.53
SLpM
4.43
51%
Str. Acc.
57%
4.78
SApM
2.59
50%
Str. Def.
52%
1.90
TD Avg.
0.33
75%
TD Def.
63%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Christian Leroy Duncan
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Christian Leroy Duncan
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Gregory Rodrigues
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
By the Numbers
Gregory Rodrigues finishes 54% · finished 15% (13 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (4-0)
When older than opponent 80% (4-1)
Vs orthodox 80% (8-2)
Giving up reach 80% (4-1)
Christian Leroy Duncan finishes 56% · finished 0% (9 fights)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
As the rating favorite 83% (5-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 80% (4-1)
With a reach advantage 78% (7-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.