← UFC 304
Heavyweight · Title
Result
Tom Aspinall def.
KO/TKO · R1 1:00
Tale of the Tape
78"
Reach
80"
33
Age
35
7.63
SLpM
4.18
67%
Str. Acc.
52%
3.62
SApM
2.76
56%
Str. Def.
53%
2.62
TD Avg.
5.12
100%
TD Def.
35%
1.30
Sub. Avg.
0.00
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Tom Aspinall
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Curtis Blaydes
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Tom Aspinall
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
46%
of title fights go the distance
127 fights
By the Numbers
Tom Aspinall
finishes 89% · finished 11% (9 fights)
As the rating underdog
100%
(3-0)
In title fights
100%
(2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage
100%
(2-0)
When younger than opponent
88%
(7-1)
Curtis Blaydes
finishes 33% · finished 33% (9 fights)
When younger than opponent
67%
(2-1)
Vs orthodox
63%
(5-3)
With a reach advantage
63%
(5-3)
As the rating underdog
57%
(4-3)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.