predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Thomas Petersen
11-4 · Southpaw
vs
Mohammed Usman
12-4 · Orthodox
Heavyweight · APEX cage
Result
Thomas Petersen def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
79"
31
Age
37
3.10
SLpM
3.85
59%
Str. Acc.
39%
2.61
SApM
4.27
54%
Str. Def.
51%
3.01
TD Avg.
0.56
87%
TD Def.
66%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Thomas Petersen
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Mohammed Usman
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Mohammed Usman
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Thomas Petersen finishes 0% · finished 33% (6 fights)
When younger than opponent 75% (3-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 67% (2-1)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 50% (2-2)
Mohammed Usman finishes 17% · finished 0% (6 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
With a reach advantage 80% (4-1)
Vs orthodox 75% (3-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.