predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Trey Ogden
18-7 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Loik Radzhabov
18-6-1 · Orthodox
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Trey Ogden def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
69"
36
Age
35
3.20
SLpM
2.89
50%
Str. Acc.
44%
3.49
SApM
3.76
55%
Str. Def.
46%
1.89
TD Avg.
4.65
100%
TD Def.
42%
0.70
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Loik Radzhabov
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Trey Ogden
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Trey Ogden
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Trey Ogden finishes 0% · finished 0% (6 fights)
As the rating underdog 60% (3-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 60% (3-2)
Vs orthodox 50% (2-2)
With a reach advantage 50% (2-2)
Loik Radzhabov finishes 25% · finished 25% (4 fights)
When older than opponent 67% (2-1)
As the rating underdog 67% (2-1)
Vs orthodox 67% (2-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (1-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.