predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Cody Gibson
22-12 · Orthodox
vs
Brian Kelleher
24-16 · Switch
Bantamweight · APEX cage
Result
Cody Gibson def.
SUB · R1 3:58
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
66"
38
Age
39
3.63
SLpM
3.31
46%
Str. Acc.
41%
3.22
SApM
4.59
57%
Str. Def.
54%
2.12
TD Avg.
1.68
69%
TD Def.
60%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
0.70

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

59%
younger fighters win at Bantamweight
349 fights · edge Cody Gibson
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Bantamweight
303 fights · edge Cody Gibson
58%
the rating favorite wins at Bantamweight
305 fights · edge Cody Gibson
43%
of Bantamweight fights end inside the distance
349 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Cody Gibson finishes 17% · finished 33% (6 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
With a reach advantage 40% (2-3)
In the small (APEX) cage 33% (1-2)
Vs orthodox 25% (1-3)
Brian Kelleher finishes 13% · finished 50% (8 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 60% (3-2)
Giving up reach 43% (3-4)
When older than opponent 38% (3-5)
Vs orthodox 33% (2-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.