predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Julian Erosa
31-14 · Southpaw
vs
Christian Rodriguez
13-4 · Orthodox
Featherweight
Result
Julian Erosa def.
SUB · R1 4:49
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
71"
36
Age
28
6.18
SLpM
3.90
48%
Str. Acc.
50%
6.31
SApM
2.94
48%
Str. Def.
56%
1.73
TD Avg.
1.81
61%
TD Def.
67%
0.70
Sub. Avg.
1.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

55%
younger fighters win at Featherweight
365 fights · edge Christian Rodriguez
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Featherweight
315 fights · edge Julian Erosa
55%
the rating favorite wins at Featherweight
320 fights · edge Christian Rodriguez
49%
of Featherweight fights end inside the distance
365 fights
By the Numbers
Julian Erosa finishes 46% · finished 31% (13 fights)
As the rating underdog 83% (5-1)
Vs orthodox 70% (7-3)
With a reach advantage 70% (7-3)
When younger than opponent 67% (2-1)
Christian Rodriguez finishes 20% · finished 10% (10 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (3-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (5-0)
As the rating underdog 75% (3-1)
Vs orthodox 75% (3-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.