predicted sports
← UFC 303
Rei Tsuruya
11-1 · Orthodox
vs
Carlos Hernandez
10-5 · Orthodox
Flyweight
Result
Rei Tsuruya def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
68"
Reach
67"
24
Age
32
2.40
SLpM
3.83
53%
Str. Acc.
45%
1.91
SApM
3.50
43%
Str. Def.
50%
5.03
TD Avg.
1.56
50%
TD Def.
65%
2.00
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Flyweight
209 fights · edge Rei Tsuruya
48%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Flyweight
186 fights · edge Rei Tsuruya
59%
the rating favorite wins at Flyweight
193 fights · edge Rei Tsuruya
50%
of Flyweight fights end inside the distance
209 fights
By the Numbers
Rei Tsuruya finishes 33% · finished 0% (3 fights)
As the rating favorite 100% (2-0)
When younger than opponent 67% (2-1)
Vs orthodox 67% (2-1)
With a reach advantage 67% (2-1)
Carlos Hernandez finishes 0% · finished 43% (7 fights)
When younger than opponent 67% (2-1)
Giving up reach 50% (3-3)
In the small (APEX) cage 40% (2-3)
As the rating underdog 33% (2-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.