predicted sports
← UFC 303
Martin Buday
16-2 · Orthodox
vs
Andrei Arlovski
34-24 (2 NC) · Orthodox
Heavyweight
Result
Martin Buday def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
77"
Reach
77"
34
Age
47
4.39
SLpM
3.82
53%
Str. Acc.
45%
4.49
SApM
3.22
55%
Str. Def.
57%
0.15
TD Avg.
0.37
93%
TD Def.
76%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Martin Buday
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Martin Buday
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
By the Numbers
Martin Buday finishes 13% · finished 13% (8 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (4-0)
As the rating favorite 88% (7-1)
Vs orthodox 88% (7-1)
Andrei Arlovski finishes 0% · finished 30% (10 fights)
As the rating favorite 67% (4-2)
With a reach advantage 67% (2-1)
When older than opponent 50% (5-5)
Vs orthodox 50% (5-5)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.