predicted sports
← UFC 303
Roman Dolidze
15-5 · Orthodox
vs
Anthony Smith
38-22 · Orthodox
Light Heavyweight
Result
Roman Dolidze def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
76"
Reach
76"
37
Age
37
3.19
SLpM
3.19
41%
Str. Acc.
49%
3.71
SApM
5.04
48%
Str. Def.
44%
1.16
TD Avg.
0.44
32%
TD Def.
50%
0.70
Sub. Avg.
0.60

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

54%
younger fighters win at Light Heavyweight
214 fights · edge Anthony Smith
61%
the rating favorite wins at Light Heavyweight
195 fights · edge Roman Dolidze
66%
of Light Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
214 fights
By the Numbers
Roman Dolidze finishes 36% · finished 7% (14 fights)
As the rating underdog 80% (4-1)
Giving up reach 80% (4-1)
Vs orthodox 70% (7-3)
Vs southpaws 67% (2-1)
Anthony Smith finishes 33% · finished 33% (12 fights)
In 5-round fights 67% (2-1)
As the rating underdog 60% (3-2)
Vs orthodox 50% (5-5)
With a reach advantage 50% (2-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.