predicted sports
← UFC 303
Alex Pereira
13-4 · Orthodox
vs
Jiri Prochazka
32-6-1 · Orthodox
Light Heavyweight · Title
Result
Alex Pereira def.
KO/TKO · R2 0:13
Tale of the Tape
79"
Reach
80"
38
Age
33
5.01
SLpM
5.61
61%
Str. Acc.
55%
3.72
SApM
5.67
52%
Str. Def.
45%
0.11
TD Avg.
0.49
80%
TD Def.
68%
0.20
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

54%
younger fighters win at Light Heavyweight
214 fights · edge Jiri Prochazka
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Light Heavyweight
184 fights · edge Jiri Prochazka
61%
the rating favorite wins at Light Heavyweight
195 fights · edge Alex Pereira
66%
of Light Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
214 fights
46%
of title fights go the distance
127 fights
By the Numbers
Alex Pereira finishes 62% · finished 15% (13 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (3-0)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
With a reach advantage 86% (6-1)
Vs orthodox 78% (7-2)
Jiri Prochazka finishes 67% · finished 33% (9 fights)
As the rating favorite 100% (4-0)
Vs southpaws 100% (3-0)
When younger than opponent 67% (6-3)
With a reach advantage 67% (6-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.