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Middleweight
Result
Kelvin Gastelum def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
74"
34
Age
39
3.65
SLpM
7.20
42%
Str. Acc.
49%
3.52
SApM
5.40
57%
Str. Def.
57%
1.04
TD Avg.
0.51
60%
TD Def.
64%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.10
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Kelvin Gastelum
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Daniel Rodriguez
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Daniel Rodriguez
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
By the Numbers
Kelvin Gastelum
finishes 0% · finished 30% (10 fights)
When younger than opponent
50%
(3-3)
As the rating favorite
50%
(1-1)
Giving up reach
40%
(4-6)
As the rating underdog
38%
(3-5)
Daniel Rodriguez
finishes 25% · finished 17% (12 fights)
As the rating underdog
83%
(5-1)
With a reach advantage
83%
(5-1)
In the small (APEX) cage
83%
(5-1)
Giving up reach
75%
(3-1)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.