predicted sports
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Melquizael Costa
26-8 · Southpaw
vs
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke
39-12 · Orthodox
Featherweight · APEX cage
Result
Melquizael Costa def.
SUB · R3 1:50
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
69"
29
Age
32
4.29
SLpM
1.95
47%
Str. Acc.
45%
3.19
SApM
2.64
50%
Str. Def.
50%
1.53
TD Avg.
3.30
50%
TD Def.
28%
0.80
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

55%
younger fighters win at Featherweight
365 fights · edge Melquizael Costa
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Featherweight
315 fights · edge Melquizael Costa
55%
the rating favorite wins at Featherweight
320 fights · edge Melquizael Costa
49%
of Featherweight fights end inside the distance
365 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Melquizael Costa finishes 40% · finished 20% (10 fights)
Vs orthodox 86% (6-1)
As the rating favorite 75% (3-1)
When younger than opponent 67% (6-3)
As the rating underdog 67% (4-2)
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke finishes 17% · finished 33% (6 fights)
When younger than opponent 75% (3-1)
As the rating underdog 67% (2-1)
Vs orthodox 67% (2-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 60% (3-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.