predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Adam Fugitt
10-6 · Southpaw
vs
Josh Quinlan
6-3 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Welterweight · APEX cage
Result
Adam Fugitt def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
77"
Reach
72"
37
Age
33
4.88
SLpM
3.57
46%
Str. Acc.
42%
5.33
SApM
6.38
51%
Str. Def.
53%
1.63
TD Avg.
0.34
50%
TD Def.
71%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Josh Quinlan
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Adam Fugitt
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Adam Fugitt
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Adam Fugitt finishes 17% · finished 67% (6 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
With a reach advantage 50% (2-2)
When older than opponent 33% (2-4)
Josh Quinlan finishes 25% · finished 25% (4 fights)
When younger than opponent 50% (1-1)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
Vs orthodox 50% (1-1)
When older than opponent 0% (0-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.