predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Punahele Soriano
13-4 · Southpaw
vs
Miguel Baeza
10-4 · Orthodox
Welterweight
Result
Punahele Soriano def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
74"
33
Age
33
4.42
SLpM
4.09
53%
Str. Acc.
49%
3.31
SApM
5.92
47%
Str. Def.
46%
1.97
TD Avg.
0.36
48%
TD Def.
54%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
2.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Punahele Soriano
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Miguel Baeza
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Punahele Soriano
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Punahele Soriano finishes 30% · finished 20% (10 fights)
As the rating underdog 80% (4-1)
Vs orthodox 71% (5-2)
When younger than opponent 67% (4-2)
When older than opponent 50% (2-2)
Miguel Baeza finishes 20% · finished 40% (5 fights)
When younger than opponent 50% (1-1)
Vs southpaws 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 33% (1-2)
With a reach advantage 33% (1-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.