← UFC 302
Welterweight
Result
Jake Matthews def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
73"
Reach
80"
31
Age
35
3.36
SLpM
3.51
44%
Str. Acc.
49%
2.58
SApM
4.15
60%
Str. Def.
50%
1.36
TD Avg.
0.46
66%
TD Def.
53%
0.70
Sub. Avg.
0.20
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Jake Matthews
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Phil Rowe
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Jake Matthews
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Jake Matthews
finishes 27% · finished 18% (11 fights)
With a reach advantage
75%
(3-1)
As the rating favorite
71%
(5-2)
When older than opponent
67%
(2-1)
Vs orthodox
67%
(6-3)
Phil Rowe
finishes 44% · finished 0% (9 fights)
When younger than opponent
67%
(2-1)
In the small (APEX) cage
67%
(2-1)
As the rating favorite
60%
(3-2)
Vs orthodox
60%
(3-2)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.