← UFC 302
Lightweight
Result
Grant Dawson def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
70"
32
Age
32
3.14
SLpM
1.97
51%
Str. Acc.
53%
2.14
SApM
1.85
44%
Str. Def.
50%
3.58
TD Avg.
2.06
66%
TD Def.
14%
1.40
Sub. Avg.
1.40
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Grant Dawson
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Grant Dawson
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Grant Dawson
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Grant Dawson
finishes 45% · finished 18% (11 fights)
As the rating underdog
100%
(3-0)
When younger than opponent
89%
(8-1)
Vs orthodox
89%
(8-1)
With a reach advantage
83%
(5-1)
Joe Solecki
finishes 25% · finished 13% (8 fights)
As the rating favorite
75%
(3-1)
In the small (APEX) cage
67%
(4-2)
When younger than opponent
60%
(3-2)
Giving up reach
60%
(3-2)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.