predicted sports
← UFC 302
Jailton Almeida
22-5 · Orthodox
vs
Alexandr Romanov
18-3 · Southpaw
Heavyweight
Result
Jailton Almeida def.
SUB · R1 2:27
Tale of the Tape
79"
Reach
75"
35
Age
35
2.23
SLpM
3.78
62%
Str. Acc.
51%
1.30
SApM
2.13
43%
Str. Def.
54%
5.64
TD Avg.
4.49
60%
TD Def.
28%
1.70
Sub. Avg.
0.90

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Jailton Almeida
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Jailton Almeida
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Jailton Almeida
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
By the Numbers
Jailton Almeida finishes 64% · finished 9% (11 fights)
In 5-round fights 100% (2-0)
With a reach advantage 88% (7-1)
When younger than opponent 75% (6-2)
As the rating favorite 70% (7-3)
Alexandr Romanov finishes 40% · finished 20% (10 fights)
With a reach advantage 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 86% (6-1)
As the rating favorite 75% (6-2)
When younger than opponent 71% (5-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.