predicted sports
← UFC 302
Kevin Holland
29-15 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Michal Oleksiejczuk
22-10 (1 NC) · Southpaw
Middleweight
Result
Kevin Holland def.
SUB · R1 1:34
Tale of the Tape
81"
Reach
74"
33
Age
31
4.24
SLpM
5.73
49%
Str. Acc.
52%
3.21
SApM
4.45
50%
Str. Def.
60%
0.79
TD Avg.
0.99
57%
TD Def.
52%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Michal Oleksiejczuk
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Kevin Holland
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Kevin Holland
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
By the Numbers
Kevin Holland finishes 41% · finished 18% (22 fights)
Vs orthodox 64% (7-4)
When younger than opponent 59% (10-7)
As the rating underdog 58% (7-5)
With a reach advantage 55% (12-10)
Michal Oleksiejczuk finishes 43% · finished 29% (14 fights)
As the rating favorite 75% (6-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 75% (3-1)
Vs southpaws 67% (2-1)
Giving up reach 60% (6-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.