← UFC 302
Middleweight
Result
Sean Strickland def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
76"
Reach
72"
35
Age
35
5.98
SLpM
6.15
42%
Str. Acc.
59%
4.53
SApM
5.96
60%
Str. Def.
49%
0.66
TD Avg.
0.30
68%
TD Def.
77%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.00
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Paulo Costa
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Sean Strickland
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Sean Strickland
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
By the Numbers
Sean Strickland
finishes 20% · finished 7% (15 fights)
With a reach advantage
100%
(6-0)
Vs orthodox
90%
(9-1)
In the small (APEX) cage
88%
(7-1)
When younger than opponent
75%
(6-2)
Paulo Costa
finishes 14% · finished 14% (7 fights)
Vs southpaws
75%
(3-1)
When older than opponent
50%
(1-1)
As the rating underdog
43%
(3-4)
When younger than opponent
40%
(2-3)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.