← UFC 302
Lightweight · Title
Result
Islam Makhachev def.
SUB · R5 2:42
Tale of the Tape
70"
Reach
72"
34
Age
37
2.45
SLpM
5.24
58%
Str. Acc.
50%
1.45
SApM
4.57
61%
Str. Def.
52%
3.10
TD Avg.
1.15
91%
TD Def.
64%
1.00
Sub. Avg.
1.20
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Islam Makhachev
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Dustin Poirier
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Islam Makhachev
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
46%
of title fights go the distance
127 fights
By the Numbers
Islam Makhachev
finishes 80% · finished 0% (10 fights)
When younger than opponent
100%
(8-0)
When older than opponent
100%
(2-0)
As the rating favorite
100%
(7-0)
As the rating underdog
100%
(3-0)
Dustin Poirier
finishes 44% · finished 33% (9 fights)
Giving up reach
80%
(4-1)
When younger than opponent
75%
(3-1)
As the rating favorite
75%
(3-1)
Vs southpaws
75%
(3-1)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.