predicted sports
← UFC 301
Alessandro Costa
16-5 · Orthodox
vs
Kevin Borjas
11-5 · Orthodox
Flyweight
Result
Alessandro Costa def.
KO/TKO · R2 1:35
Tale of the Tape
67"
Reach
68"
30
Age
28
3.86
SLpM
3.87
46%
Str. Acc.
42%
3.70
SApM
5.27
56%
Str. Def.
50%
0.77
TD Avg.
0.00
86%
TD Def.
72%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Flyweight
209 fights · edge Kevin Borjas
48%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Flyweight
186 fights · edge Kevin Borjas
59%
the rating favorite wins at Flyweight
193 fights · edge Alessandro Costa
50%
of Flyweight fights end inside the distance
209 fights
By the Numbers
Alessandro Costa finishes 57% · finished 29% (7 fights)
As the rating favorite 80% (4-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 75% (3-1)
When older than opponent 67% (2-1)
Giving up reach 60% (3-2)
Kevin Borjas finishes 0% · finished 33% (6 fights)
When older than opponent 50% (2-2)
As the rating underdog 40% (2-3)
Vs orthodox 40% (2-3)
With a reach advantage 40% (2-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.