predicted sports
← UFC 301
Ismael Bonfim
20-6 · Orthodox
vs
Vinc Pichel
14-5 · Orthodox
Lightweight
Result
Ismael Bonfim def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
72"
30
Age
43
5.51
SLpM
3.78
54%
Str. Acc.
46%
3.71
SApM
3.17
65%
Str. Def.
54%
1.06
TD Avg.
2.50
76%
TD Def.
31%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Ismael Bonfim
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Vinc Pichel
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Ismael Bonfim
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Ismael Bonfim finishes 20% · finished 60% (5 fights)
As the rating underdog 50% (2-2)
Vs orthodox 50% (1-1)
Giving up reach 50% (2-2)
When younger than opponent 40% (2-3)
Vinc Pichel finishes 0% · finished 0% (5 fights)
As the rating underdog 50% (1-1)
With a reach advantage 50% (2-2)
When older than opponent 40% (2-3)
As the rating favorite 33% (1-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.