predicted sports
← UFC 301
Dione Barbosa
9-4 · Orthodox
vs
Ernesta Kareckaite
6-2-1 · Orthodox
Women's Flyweight
Result
Dione Barbosa def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
66"
Reach
71"
34
Age
27
2.21
SLpM
7.28
45%
Str. Acc.
42%
2.40
SApM
6.47
64%
Str. Def.
49%
2.40
TD Avg.
0.75
63%
TD Def.
81%
1.70
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

58%
younger fighters win at Women's Flyweight
187 fights · edge Ernesta Kareckaite
49%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Women's Flyweight
162 fights · edge Ernesta Kareckaite
63%
the rating favorite wins at Women's Flyweight
168 fights · edge Dione Barbosa
37%
of Women's Flyweight fights end inside the distance
188 fights
By the Numbers
Dione Barbosa finishes 20% · finished 0% (5 fights)
Vs orthodox 75% (3-1)
Giving up reach 75% (3-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 67% (2-1)
When older than opponent 60% (3-2)
Ernesta Kareckaite finishes 0% · finished 0% (3 fights)
When younger than opponent 50% (1-1)
Vs orthodox 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 33% (1-2)
With a reach advantage 33% (1-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.