predicted sports
← UFC 301
Mauricio Ruffy
14-2 · Orthodox
vs
Jamie Mullarkey
18-9 · Orthodox
Lightweight
Result
Mauricio Ruffy def.
KO/TKO · R1 4:42
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
74"
30
Age
31
4.19
SLpM
4.10
57%
Str. Acc.
46%
3.83
SApM
4.28
59%
Str. Def.
54%
0.00
TD Avg.
2.46
86%
TD Def.
70%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Mauricio Ruffy
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Mauricio Ruffy
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Mauricio Ruffy
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Mauricio Ruffy finishes 67% · finished 17% (6 fights)
Vs orthodox 100% (4-0)
With a reach advantage 83% (5-1)
When younger than opponent 80% (4-1)
As the rating favorite 80% (4-1)
Jamie Mullarkey finishes 17% · finished 42% (12 fights)
When younger than opponent 80% (4-1)
As the rating favorite 63% (5-3)
With a reach advantage 60% (3-2)
Vs orthodox 56% (5-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.