predicted sports
← UFC 301
Myktybek Orolbai
16-2-1 · Orthodox
vs
Elves Brener
16-6 · Orthodox
Lightweight
Result
Myktybek Orolbai def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
72"
28
Age
28
2.78
SLpM
4.76
50%
Str. Acc.
47%
2.70
SApM
5.86
51%
Str. Def.
50%
8.77
TD Avg.
0.99
40%
TD Def.
76%
0.50
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Myktybek Orolbai
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Myktybek Orolbai
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Myktybek Orolbai
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Myktybek Orolbai finishes 50% · finished 0% (6 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
Vs orthodox 100% (4-0)
Giving up reach 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)
Elves Brener finishes 33% · finished 17% (6 fights)
As the rating favorite 67% (2-1)
When younger than opponent 60% (3-2)
Vs orthodox 50% (3-3)
With a reach advantage 50% (1-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.