predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Chris Padilla
17-6-1 · Orthodox
vs
James Llontop
14-5 · Orthodox
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Chris Padilla def.
SUB · R1 4:33
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
73"
30
Age
26
6.19
SLpM
5.57
54%
Str. Acc.
41%
4.88
SApM
4.12
49%
Str. Def.
57%
1.13
TD Avg.
0.00
80%
TD Def.
54%
0.30
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge James Llontop
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Chris Padilla
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Chris Padilla
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Chris Padilla finishes 75% · finished 0% (4 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (3-0)
As the rating favorite 100% (3-0)
Vs orthodox 100% (4-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (3-0)
James Llontop finishes 0% · finished 33% (3 fights)
When younger than opponent 0% (0-3)
As the rating underdog 0% (0-3)
Vs orthodox 0% (0-3)
Giving up reach 0% (0-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.