← UFC 300
Lightweight
Result
Max Holloway def.
KO/TKO · R5 4:59
Tale of the Tape
69"
Reach
70"
34
Age
37
6.91
SLpM
6.29
48%
Str. Acc.
57%
4.61
SApM
6.83
58%
Str. Def.
50%
0.23
TD Avg.
0.30
81%
TD Def.
73%
0.30
Sub. Avg.
0.00
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Max Holloway
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Justin Gaethje
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Justin Gaethje
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Max Holloway
finishes 20% · finished 10% (10 fights)
As the rating favorite
100%
(4-0)
Vs southpaws
100%
(2-0)
When older than opponent
67%
(2-1)
Giving up reach
67%
(6-3)
Justin Gaethje
finishes 22% · finished 33% (9 fights)
Giving up reach
83%
(5-1)
When older than opponent
71%
(5-2)
As the rating underdog
67%
(6-3)
In title fights
67%
(2-1)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.