← UFC Fight Night
Lightweight
· APEX cage
Result
Trey Ogden def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
70"
36
Age
39
3.20
SLpM
4.58
50%
Str. Acc.
44%
3.49
SApM
4.24
55%
Str. Def.
49%
1.89
TD Avg.
0.65
100%
TD Def.
38%
0.70
Sub. Avg.
0.80
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Trey Ogden
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Trey Ogden
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Trey Ogden
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Trey Ogden
finishes 0% · finished 0% (6 fights)
As the rating underdog
60%
(3-2)
In the small (APEX) cage
60%
(3-2)
Vs orthodox
50%
(2-2)
With a reach advantage
50%
(2-2)
Kurt Holobaugh
finishes 20% · finished 20% (5 fights)
As the rating favorite
50%
(2-2)
Vs orthodox
50%
(2-2)
When older than opponent
40%
(2-3)
Giving up reach
40%
(2-3)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.