predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Gerald Meerschaert
37-22 · Southpaw
vs
Bryan Barberena
18-12 · Southpaw
Middleweight · APEX cage
Result
Gerald Meerschaert def.
SUB · R2 4:23
Tale of the Tape
77"
Reach
72"
38
Age
37
2.95
SLpM
5.35
45%
Str. Acc.
48%
3.44
SApM
4.59
53%
Str. Def.
44%
1.70
TD Avg.
0.13
40%
TD Def.
50%
1.50
Sub. Avg.
0.30

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Bryan Barberena
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Gerald Meerschaert
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Bryan Barberena
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Gerald Meerschaert finishes 40% · finished 33% (15 fights)
Vs orthodox 56% (5-4)
In the small (APEX) cage 56% (5-4)
As the rating favorite 50% (4-4)
With a reach advantage 46% (6-7)
Bryan Barberena finishes 11% · finished 33% (9 fights)
When older than opponent 67% (2-1)
As the rating underdog 67% (2-1)
Vs orthodox 60% (3-2)
Giving up reach 60% (3-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.