predicted sports
← UFC 299
Asu Almabayev
24-3 · Orthodox
vs
CJ Vergara
12-7-1 · Orthodox
Flyweight
Result
Asu Almabayev def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
65"
Reach
68"
32
Age
35
2.28
SLpM
5.02
51%
Str. Acc.
56%
1.94
SApM
4.69
53%
Str. Def.
53%
4.74
TD Avg.
0.00
44%
TD Def.
60%
1.40
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Flyweight
209 fights · edge Asu Almabayev
48%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Flyweight
186 fights · edge CJ Vergara
59%
the rating favorite wins at Flyweight
193 fights · edge Asu Almabayev
50%
of Flyweight fights end inside the distance
209 fights
By the Numbers
Asu Almabayev finishes 38% · finished 13% (8 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (2-0)
As the rating favorite 100% (6-0)
Vs orthodox 100% (4-0)
Giving up reach 86% (6-1)
CJ Vergara finishes 13% · finished 38% (8 fights)
As the rating favorite 67% (2-1)
Vs southpaws 50% (1-1)
Giving up reach 40% (2-3)
When older than opponent 38% (3-5)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.