predicted sports
← UFC 299
Michel Pereira
32-15 (2 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Michal Oleksiejczuk
22-10 (1 NC) · Southpaw
Middleweight
Result
Michel Pereira def.
SUB · R1 1:01
Tale of the Tape
73"
Reach
74"
32
Age
31
4.28
SLpM
5.73
51%
Str. Acc.
52%
4.32
SApM
4.45
50%
Str. Def.
60%
1.11
TD Avg.
0.99
75%
TD Def.
52%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Michal Oleksiejczuk
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Michal Oleksiejczuk
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Michal Oleksiejczuk
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
By the Numbers
Michel Pereira finishes 31% · finished 15% (13 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 80% (4-1)
When older than opponent 75% (6-2)
As the rating favorite 70% (7-3)
Giving up reach 70% (7-3)
Michal Oleksiejczuk finishes 43% · finished 29% (14 fights)
As the rating favorite 75% (6-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 75% (3-1)
Vs southpaws 67% (2-1)
Giving up reach 60% (6-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.