predicted sports
← UFC 299
Jack Della Maddalena
18-4 · Switch
vs
Gilbert Burns
22-10 · Orthodox
Welterweight
Result
Jack Della Maddalena def.
KO/TKO · R3 3:43
Tale of the Tape
73"
Reach
71"
29
Age
39
5.32
SLpM
3.16
51%
Str. Acc.
48%
4.24
SApM
3.68
61%
Str. Def.
52%
0.34
TD Avg.
2.04
64%
TD Def.
53%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Jack Della Maddalena
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Jack Della Maddalena
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Jack Della Maddalena
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Jack Della Maddalena finishes 50% · finished 10% (10 fights)
Vs orthodox 100% (5-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (3-0)
As the rating favorite 86% (6-1)
With a reach advantage 80% (4-1)
Gilbert Burns finishes 10% · finished 40% (10 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
Vs orthodox 38% (3-5)
Giving up reach 30% (3-7)
As the rating underdog 22% (2-7)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.