predicted sports
← UFC 299
Dustin Poirier
30-10 (1 NC) · Southpaw
vs
Benoit Saint Denis
17-3 (1 NC) · Southpaw
Lightweight
Result
Dustin Poirier def.
KO/TKO · R2 2:32
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
73"
37
Age
30
5.24
SLpM
5.62
50%
Str. Acc.
58%
4.57
SApM
4.09
52%
Str. Def.
42%
1.15
TD Avg.
4.19
64%
TD Def.
72%
1.20
Sub. Avg.
1.80

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Benoit Saint Denis
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Benoit Saint Denis
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Benoit Saint Denis
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Dustin Poirier finishes 44% · finished 33% (9 fights)
Giving up reach 80% (4-1)
When younger than opponent 75% (3-1)
As the rating favorite 75% (3-1)
Vs southpaws 75% (3-1)
Benoit Saint Denis finishes 75% · finished 17% (12 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (2-0)
Giving up reach 100% (3-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)
As the rating underdog 80% (4-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.