predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Steve Erceg
14-4 · Orthodox
vs
Matt Schnell
17-11 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Flyweight · APEX cage
Result
Steve Erceg def.
KO/TKO · R2 0:26
Tale of the Tape
68"
Reach
70"
30
Age
36
4.64
SLpM
4.05
47%
Str. Acc.
40%
4.07
SApM
4.18
55%
Str. Def.
54%
1.13
TD Avg.
0.59
67%
TD Def.
43%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
1.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Flyweight
209 fights · edge Steve Erceg
48%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Flyweight
186 fights · edge Matt Schnell
59%
the rating favorite wins at Flyweight
193 fights · edge Steve Erceg
50%
of Flyweight fights end inside the distance
209 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Steve Erceg finishes 13% · finished 13% (8 fights)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)
As the rating underdog 67% (2-1)
With a reach advantage 67% (2-1)
Matt Schnell finishes 11% · finished 67% (9 fights)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
Vs orthodox 40% (2-3)
Vs southpaws 33% (1-2)
As the rating underdog 29% (2-5)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.