predicted sports
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Jesus Aguilar
12-4 · Orthodox
vs
Mateus Mendonca
10-3 · Orthodox
Flyweight
Result
Jesus Aguilar def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
62"
Reach
71"
30
Age
27
2.54
SLpM
1.66
38%
Str. Acc.
40%
2.29
SApM
4.14
61%
Str. Def.
30%
1.52
TD Avg.
2.54
45%
TD Def.
55%
1.10
Sub. Avg.
0.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Flyweight
209 fights · edge Mateus Mendonca
48%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Flyweight
186 fights · edge Mateus Mendonca
59%
the rating favorite wins at Flyweight
193 fights · edge Jesus Aguilar
50%
of Flyweight fights end inside the distance
209 fights
By the Numbers
Jesus Aguilar finishes 29% · finished 14% (7 fights)
As the rating favorite 80% (4-1)
When younger than opponent 67% (2-1)
Vs orthodox 60% (3-2)
Giving up reach 57% (4-3)
Mateus Mendonca finishes 0% · finished 33% (3 fights)
When younger than opponent 0% (0-3)
As the rating underdog 0% (0-3)
Vs orthodox 0% (0-3)
With a reach advantage 0% (0-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.