predicted sports
← UFC 298
Amanda Lemos
15-6-1 · Southpaw
vs
Mackenzie Dern
16-5 · Orthodox
Women's Strawweight
Result
Amanda Lemos def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
65"
Reach
63"
39
Age
33
2.75
SLpM
3.47
55%
Str. Acc.
41%
3.01
SApM
3.93
45%
Str. Def.
51%
1.02
TD Avg.
0.93
63%
TD Def.
37%
0.70
Sub. Avg.
1.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Women's Strawweight
202 fights · edge Mackenzie Dern
41%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Women's Strawweight
177 fights · edge Amanda Lemos
54%
the rating favorite wins at Women's Strawweight
181 fights · edge Mackenzie Dern
36%
of Women's Strawweight fights end inside the distance
202 fights
By the Numbers
Amanda Lemos finishes 31% · finished 15% (13 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (3-0)
Vs orthodox 70% (7-3)
As the rating underdog 67% (4-2)
As the rating favorite 57% (4-3)
Mackenzie Dern finishes 25% · finished 8% (12 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (2-0)
As the rating underdog 83% (5-1)
Vs orthodox 73% (8-3)
Giving up reach 71% (5-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.