← UFC 298
Welterweight
Result
Ian Machado Garry def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
75"
28
Age
35
4.78
SLpM
5.02
54%
Str. Acc.
50%
2.86
SApM
5.50
52%
Str. Def.
57%
0.92
TD Avg.
0.54
80%
TD Def.
87%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.10
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Ian Machado Garry
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Geoff Neal
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Ian Machado Garry
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Ian Machado Garry
finishes 27% · finished 0% (11 fights)
As the rating favorite
100%
(8-0)
Vs southpaws
100%
(3-0)
With a reach advantage
100%
(4-0)
When younger than opponent
91%
(10-1)
Geoff Neal
finishes 22% · finished 33% (9 fights)
When younger than opponent
50%
(2-2)
Vs southpaws
50%
(1-1)
With a reach advantage
50%
(2-2)
As the rating underdog
33%
(3-6)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.