predicted sports
← UFC 298
Robert Whittaker
27-9 · Orthodox
vs
Paulo Costa
16-4 · Orthodox
Middleweight
Result
Robert Whittaker def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
73"
Reach
72"
35
Age
35
4.39
SLpM
6.15
43%
Str. Acc.
59%
3.36
SApM
5.96
59%
Str. Def.
49%
0.73
TD Avg.
0.30
82%
TD Def.
77%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Paulo Costa
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Robert Whittaker
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Robert Whittaker
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
By the Numbers
Robert Whittaker finishes 10% · finished 20% (10 fights)
With a reach advantage 100% (2-0)
As the rating favorite 80% (4-1)
Vs southpaws 80% (4-1)
When older than opponent 71% (5-2)
Paulo Costa finishes 14% · finished 14% (7 fights)
Vs southpaws 75% (3-1)
When older than opponent 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 43% (3-4)
When younger than opponent 40% (2-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.