predicted sports
← UFC 298
Ilia Topuria
17-1 · Orthodox
vs
Alexander Volkanovski
28-4 · Orthodox
Featherweight · Title
Result
Ilia Topuria def.
KO/TKO · R2 3:32
Tale of the Tape
69"
Reach
71"
29
Age
37
4.82
SLpM
5.99
50%
Str. Acc.
57%
3.97
SApM
3.31
62%
Str. Def.
58%
1.73
TD Avg.
1.63
95%
TD Def.
68%
0.90
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

55%
younger fighters win at Featherweight
365 fights · edge Ilia Topuria
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Featherweight
315 fights · edge Alexander Volkanovski
55%
the rating favorite wins at Featherweight
320 fights · edge Alexander Volkanovski
49%
of Featherweight fights end inside the distance
365 fights
46%
of title fights go the distance
127 fights
By the Numbers
Ilia Topuria finishes 70% · finished 10% (10 fights)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
When younger than opponent 90% (9-1)
As the rating favorite 89% (8-1)
Giving up reach 89% (8-1)
Alexander Volkanovski finishes 20% · finished 20% (10 fights)
As the rating favorite 100% (2-0)
Giving up reach 100% (3-0)
Vs orthodox 86% (6-1)
In title fights 70% (7-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.