predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Waldo Cortes Acosta
17-3 · Orthodox
vs
Andrei Arlovski
34-24 (2 NC) · Orthodox
Heavyweight · APEX cage
Result
Waldo Cortes Acosta def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
78"
Reach
77"
34
Age
47
5.34
SLpM
3.82
48%
Str. Acc.
45%
3.63
SApM
3.22
54%
Str. Def.
57%
0.40
TD Avg.
0.37
73%
TD Def.
76%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Waldo Cortes Acosta
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Waldo Cortes Acosta
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Waldo Cortes Acosta
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Waldo Cortes Acosta finishes 38% · finished 0% (13 fights)
As the rating favorite 89% (8-1)
Vs orthodox 83% (10-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 83% (5-1)
When younger than opponent 78% (7-2)
Andrei Arlovski finishes 0% · finished 30% (10 fights)
As the rating favorite 67% (4-2)
With a reach advantage 67% (2-1)
When older than opponent 50% (5-5)
Vs orthodox 50% (5-5)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.