predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Mario Bautista
17-3 · Switch
vs
Ricky Simon
22-7-1 · Orthodox
Bantamweight · APEX cage
Result
Mario Bautista def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
69"
Reach
69"
32
Age
33
5.30
SLpM
3.03
48%
Str. Acc.
42%
3.98
SApM
3.90
54%
Str. Def.
61%
1.91
TD Avg.
4.49
55%
TD Def.
76%
0.80
Sub. Avg.
0.30

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

59%
younger fighters win at Bantamweight
349 fights · edge Mario Bautista
58%
the rating favorite wins at Bantamweight
305 fights · edge Mario Bautista
43%
of Bantamweight fights end inside the distance
349 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Mario Bautista finishes 36% · finished 9% (11 fights)
With a reach advantage 100% (3-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (6-0)
As the rating favorite 86% (6-1)
When younger than opponent 83% (5-1)
Ricky Simon finishes 40% · finished 10% (10 fights)
When younger than opponent 75% (3-1)
As the rating underdog 75% (3-1)
Vs orthodox 71% (5-2)
With a reach advantage 60% (3-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.